1
课程详述
COURSE SPECIFICATION
以下课程信息可能根据实际授课需要或在课程检讨之后产生变动。如对课程有任何疑问,请联
系授课教师。
The course information as follows may be subject to change, either during the session because of unforeseen
circumstances, or following review of the course at the end of the session. Queries about the course should be
directed to the course instructor.
1.
课程名称 Course Title
应用随机过程 Applied Stochastic Processes
2.
授课院系
Originating Department
数学系 Department of Mathematics
3.
课程编号
Course Code
MA208
4.
课程学分 Credit Value
3
5.
课程类别
Course Type
专业选修课 Major Elective Courses
6.
授课学期
Semester
春季 Spring
7.
授课语言
Teaching Language
英文 English / 中文 Chinese
8.
他授课教师)
Instructor(s), Affiliation&
Contact
For team teaching, please list
all instructors
熊捷,教授,数学系
慧园 3-527
xiongj@sustc.edu.cn
0755-8801-8747
XIONG Jie, Professor, Department of Mathematics
Rm.3-527, Wisdom Valley.
xiongj@sustc.edu.cn
0755-8801-8747
9.
/
方式
Tutor/TA(s), Contact
待公布 To be announced
10.
选课人数限额(不填)
Maximum Enrolment
Optional
授课方式
Delivery Method
习题/辅导/讨论
Tutorials
实验/实习
Lab/Practical
其它(请具体注明)
OtherPlease specify
总学时
Total
11.
学时数
Credit Hours
N/A
48
2
12.
先修课程、其它学习要求
Pre-requisites or Other
Academic Requirements
数学分析 III(或数学分析精讲);概率论(或概率论与数理统计);线性代数 II
Mathematical Analysis III(or Real Analysis), and Linear Algebra II, Probability Theory
(or Probability and Statistics)
13.
后续课程、其它学习规划
Courses for which this course
is a pre-requisite
为金融数学专业基础课是绝大部分应用统计和随机程课程的先修
程;其它非金融数学专业学生如果想学习有广泛应用性的统计方法,也可选修本
课程。
This course should be taken by everyone contemplating doing Financial Mathematics
in the following years and it is a prerequisite for most Applied Probability and
Stochastic Processes. It should however also be suitable for non-specialists, i.e. for all
those students who wish to take a second course in Stochastic Processes to gain a
certain amount of familiarity and facility in using some of the widely used statistical
methods.
14.
其它要求修读本课程的学系
Cross-listing Dept.
To be determined 待定
教学大纲及教学日历 SYLLABUS
15.
教学目标 Course Objectives
介绍一些重要随机过程的基本概念。这些随机过程在实际随机模型中具有重要应用。同时介绍重要的概率方
法,特别要清晰地介绍说明非常重要的条件期望方法,重点说明一些重要随机过程,如马尔可夫链,泊松过程
和布朗运动等并强调其应用。
To introduce the basic concepts in stochastic processes which form the basis for all applications of applied probability
and random processes, and for further probability theory. Also to introduce the important probability methods,
particularly the powerful conditional expectation technique, with a strong emphasis on applying standard statistical
techniques appropriately and with clear interpretation. The emphasis is on applications of stochastic models such as
Markov Chains, Poisson Processes and Brownian Motion Processes.
16.
预达学习成果 Learning Outcomes
完成该课程之后,学生应该掌握最基本的概率方法和技巧,特别是非常重要的条件期望方法。学生应该掌握基
本的随机过程,如马尔可夫链,泊松过程和布朗运动等;掌握基本的方法和技能来解决实际问题中有关随机过
程的问题。
After completing this course, students should master a few basic probability methods and techniques, particularly the
important and powerful conditional expectation method. After learning this course, they should be also familiar with a
range of stochastic models such as Markov Chains, Poisson Process and Brownian Motion Process and master the basic
methods and techniques for solving real life problems of the probabilistic nature and should have a conceptual and
practical understanding of a range of commonly applied stochastic models.
17.
课程内容及教学日历 (如授课语言以英文为主,则课程内容介绍可以用英文;如团队教学或模块教学,教学日历须注明
主讲人)
Course Contents (in Parts/Chapters/Sections/Weeks. Please notify name of instructor for course section(s), if
this is a team teaching or module course.)
3
Ch1. Introduction & Revision: (2 hours) From Random Variables to Stochastic Processes; Revision on Probability
Measures, Random Variables, Random Vectors, Expectations, Variance, Independence; General Definition for
Stochastic Processes; State Space; Time Parameter; For Types of Stochastic Processes.
Ch2. Conditional Expectation: (6 hours) Conditional Probability and Conditional Expectation for Discrete case;
Conditional Probability and Conditional Expectation for Continuous case; Calculating Expectation by conditioning;
Calculating Probability by Conditioning.
Ch3: Discrete Time Markov Chains: (12 hours) Markov Property; Definition of Discrete Time Markov Chains;
Examples; One-Step Transition Probabilities; N-Step Transition Probabilities; Chapman-Kolmogorov Equations;
Absolute Distributions; Classification of States; Irreducibility; Definition and Criteria for Recurrence and Transience;
Period; Positive Recurrence and Null-Recurrence; Ergodicity; Limiting Distributions; Stationary Distributions;
Examples, particularly Random Walks; Mean Time spent in Transient States.
Ch4: Poisson Processes: (12 hours) Exponential Distributions; Memory-less Property; Two Definitions of Poisson
Processes; Properties of Poisson Processes; Arriving Times and Inter-Arriving Times; Compound Poisson Processes;
Applications.
CH5: Introduction to Continuous Time Markov Chains: (4 hours) Definition of Continuous Time Markov Chains;
Examples; Chapman-Kolmogorov Equations; Rate Matrix; Classification of States; The Kolmogorov Backward
Equations; The Kolmogorov Forward Equations; Limiting and Stationary Distributions.
Ch6: Brownian Motion Processes (BMP): (12 hours) Definition of BMP ; Properties of BMP; Concepts; Absolute
Distributions of BMP; Hitting Times of BMP; Transformation of BMP; Geometric Brownian Motion; Application of
BMP in Finance: Option Pricing and The Black-Scholes Formula.
18.
教材及其它参考资料 Textbook and Supplementary Readings
指定教材: Sheldon M. Ross, Introduction to Probability Models, 11
th
Ed. Elsevier (Singapore), 2011.
推荐参考资料: Geoffrey R. Grimmett and David R. Stirzaker, Probability and Random Processes 3
rd
Ed. Oxford
University Press, 2001
Required: Sheldon M. Ross, Introduction to Probability Models, 11
th
Ed. Elsevier (Singapore), 2011.
Recommended: Geoffrey R. Grimmett and David R. Stirzaker, Probability and Random Processes 3
rd
Ed. Oxford
University Press, 2001
课程评估 ASSESSMENT
19.
评估形式
Type of
Assessment
评估时间
Time
占考试总成绩百分比
% of final
score
违纪处罚
Penalty
备注
Notes
出勤 Attendance
课堂表现
Class
Performance
小测验
Quiz
课程项目 Projects
平时作业
Assignments
25%
期中考试
Mid-Term Test
25%
期末考试
Final Exam
2 hours
50%
4
期末报告
Final
Presentation
其它(可根据需
改写以上评估方
式)
Others (The
above may be
modified as
necessary)
20.
记分方式 GRADING SYSTEM
A. 十三级等级制 Letter Grading
B. 二级记分制(通/不通过) Pass/Fail Grading
课程审批 REVIEW AND APPROVAL
21.
本课程设置已经过以下责任人/员会审议通过
This Course has been approved by the following person or committee of authority